F.J. Reitz
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #12
Mater Dei Regional Rank #4
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 3.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 24.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Run For The Gold Alan Hopewell Classic Mater Dei Invitational Lincoln Trail Invitational Nike XC Town Twilight Evansville City / SIAC Mater Dei Sectional Mater Dei Regional State Finals
Date 8/19 8/31 9/9 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 282 430 260 277 218 272 399 382 283 330
Team Adjusted Rating 258 260 277 218 272 335 382 283 330
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Run For The Gold Alan Hopewell Classic Mater Dei Invitational Lincoln Trail Invitational Nike XC Town Twilight Evansville City / SIAC Mater Dei Sectional Mater Dei Regional State Finals
10  Jackson Nolan 11 15:48 15:43 15:49 15:59 15:51 15:30 15:45 16:16 16:35 15:51 15:53
43  Sawyer Mossberger 11 16:12 16:09 16:05 16:11 16:11 16:23 16:26 16:42 16:03 16:30
124  Brice Johnson 11 16:41 17:09 16:30 16:40 16:18 16:25 16:42 16:50 17:10
178  Carter Zieren 9 16:52 16:44 16:40 16:46 16:42 16:53 17:07 17:07 16:53 16:46
380  Caleb Merritt 11 17:24 18:06 17:11 17:23 17:23 17:28 17:20 17:22 17:30 17:22 17:24
513  Will Dierlam 9 17:40 17:33 17:53 17:34 17:05 18:03 17:33 17:41 17:37 17:48
648  Colton Rockers 12 17:55 19:26 17:44 19:06 18:00 17:56 17:32 17:33 18:28 17:53 18:05
888  Sam Heathcotte 11 18:16 18:33 18:03 18:06 18:14 18:09 18:24 18:37
914  Josiah Spanner 10 18:19 18:35 18:18 18:22 18:32 18:17 18:02
1,230  Isaac Goedde 9 18:45 18:32 18:38 18:46 18:39 19:11
1,233  Grant Hull 11 18:45 18:53 18:50 18:30 18:12 19:26




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 13.5 345 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.7 1.9 3.5 4.4 5.5 6.3 7.3 8.8 7.9 8.1 8.9 7.5 7.7 5.6 4.5 4.6 2.5 1.5 0.4 0.2
Regionals 100% 3.7 135 1.9 8.8 19.8 55.3 14.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 28 99.1 0.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 100% 12.9 0.1 0.8 1.1 2.7 3.9 4.5 6.2 5.0 5.5 5.3 5.7 4.8 5.4 4.8 4.6 4.3 3.3 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.1 1.5 2.2 1.5 1.8 100.0%
Sawyer Mossberger 100% 43.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.4 1.4 99.9%
Brice Johnson 100% 125.3 63.2%
Carter Zieren 100% 161.4 27.4%
Caleb Merritt 100% 219.0 0.1%
Will Dierlam 100% 233.1 0.0%
Colton Rockers 100% 239.8 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 100% 3.3 2.2 24.4 19.6 13.8 9.6 8.7 6.3 4.6 3.4 2.4 1.9 1.4 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Sawyer Mossberger 100% 12.5 0.1 1.2 1.7 2.9 2.8 3.9 5.6 5.5 6.7 7.8 8.0 7.8 7.2 7.1 6.1 6.2 5.2 3.6 3.1 2.1 1.3 1.3 1.0 1.0 100.0%
Brice Johnson 100% 28.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.3 1.3 2.1 2.2 2.4 3.4 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.3 100.0%
Carter Zieren 100% 37.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.3 1.3 1.9 100.0%
Caleb Merritt 100% 62.8 100.0%
Will Dierlam 100% 80.0 99.9%
Colton Rockers 100% 100.1 97.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Nolan 1.0 99.3 0.7
Sawyer Mossberger 1.5 0.7 93.0 5.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
Brice Johnson 3.8 0.1 29.2 25.1 19.6 14.3 8.1 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1
Carter Zieren 6.0 2.9 11.7 14.5 20.7 23.0 15.7 6.2 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2
Caleb Merritt 13.6 0.2 0.3 3.2 5.6 7.7 10.0 8.9 8.1 10.3 9.3 8.5 7.1 6.6 5.3 3.0 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.8 0.7
Will Dierlam 19.9 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.4 2.7 2.7 4.9 5.1 7.2 8.4 8.9 8.6 7.9 7.3 5.6 5.2 4.0
Colton Rockers 27.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.0 3.6 4.4 4.8 4.5 5.4 5.6